🇬🇧 It is mathematically impossible to predict whether a trip might go ahead or be cancelled. But there are ways to mitigate the risks
Travel is on the mind for many Australians at the moment, whether as a form of lockdown escapism, or an actual escape for those who aren’t currently stuck at home.
But given how suddenly states can impose travel restrictions, and fluctuating caps on international arrivals, booking an interstate or overseas trip in the next year carries risk: the trip could be cancelled without a refund or, worse, you could get stuck, unable to easily return home.
Dr Barbara Holland, a professor of mathematics at the University of Tasmania, teaches students how to use maths to make better decisions in the face of uncertainty. Holland says this can include working out whether to book a holiday in the time of Covid-19.
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