If there is a second wave of Covid, the Swedish approach will have been right all along 

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Not going into lockdown was described as “a mad experiment” at the time, but Sweden can look to the winter with less trepidation than most
CHRISTOPHER SNOWDON
11 July 2020 • 6:00pm

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There have been times during this pandemic that I’ve felt as if my memory is playing tricks on me. I’m sure I remember scientists telling us that a second wave was inevitable. I could have sworn I saw a graph at the press briefings showing a scary bell curve of infections in the spring and an even scarier one in the winter. I’m sure I heard experts explaining that the only way COVID-19 would disappear would be when herd immunity was achieved, either through natural antibodies or vaccination.

Official documents reassure me that I am not going mad. The minutes from a Sage meeting in March say: “Sage was unanimous that measures seeking to completely suppress the spread of Covid-19 will cause a second peak.” As far as I can tell, this is still their view. Suppressing a wintry virus during the sunniest spring on record could turn out to be no great achievement. The worst may be yet to come.

One country can look to the winter with less trepidation than most. Last week, a study suggested that 30 per cent of Swedes have built up immunity to the virus. It would help explain why Covid-19 has been fizzling out in Sweden. If a measure of herd immunity also helps them avoid the second wave, Sweden’s take-it-on-the-chin approach will be vindicated.

Not going into lockdown was described as “a mad experiment” by Marcus Carlsson of Lund University in March. Dr Cecilia Söderberg-Nauclér of Sweden’s Karolinska Institute accused the government of “leading us to catastrophe”, and predicted that the healthcare system would collapse unless a lockdown was introduced. Every model predicted an exponential rise in infections.

With half of humanity living under lockdown, photos of Swedes socialising in bars and restaurants seemed like communiqués from another dimension. Aside from a ban on gatherings of more than 50 people, life carried on as normal. Children aged under 16 went to school. No one wore a mask. This, surely, was the calm before a terrible storm.
— Read on www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/07/11/second-wave-covid-swedish-approach-will-have-right-along/

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By MSc(Econ) Lassi Pensikkala - International Travel and Business Expert

Lassi Pensikkala is the creator of AmerExperience.com. He writes regularly providing thought leadership on topics related to Travel, Golf, Business, Health, and Lifestyle. You can follow him on Twitter @amerexperience or connect on Linkedin. You can read his business and travel magazines on Flipboard @amerexperience Born: April 30, 1959 in Piikkiö Finland Spouse: Germania Elizabeth Romo Pensikkala Children: Inga and Ana Sofia Parents: Torsti and Hillevi Pensikkala Expertise: International Travel And Business Expert Creator of AmerExperience.com - Education: Studied International Business in Business School of Turku Finland, and Economy, Psychology and Sociology at the University of Hamburg graduated as MSc(Econ) - Language skills: Multilingual - English, German, Spanish, Swedish and Finnish - Life philosophy: 1959 and the 60’s were the golden times of Rock’n Roll, student movements, and first flight to moon. The nordic people were free to travel in the Scandinavian countries including Finland. No passports or travel documents were needed. The freedom still today is the most important for the Scandinavians from that epoch. Freedom is to travel, learn to know new countries and other languages, and meet different people and cultures. He wishes the new generations would have the same possibilities experiencing all that what makes you feel free, and building a strong personality. -